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About the simulator
Watch a 2026 election night unfold
The Election Night Simulator plays out a plausible 2026 midterm night in real time, drawn live from the ElectIndex forecast. Poll-closing times tick by on the real Eastern clock, states start reporting, races get called, and the balance-of-power needles swing — the way a broadcast night actually feels.
Rather than jumping straight to a final number, the simulator lets the night breathe. Each state reports county by county, with the vote drifting toward the model's projected margin as more precincts come in. Calls land only when the outstanding vote can no longer change the winner, so an early lead can fade — or hold — exactly as it does on a real election night.
Everything is anchored to the same numbers behind the ElectIndex forecast. The order states close, how competitive each race plays, and the odds on the House and Senate control needles all come from the model's win probabilities and simulated outcomes — not a fixed script. Run it again and you get a different, but equally plausible, evening.
You can watch the whole national board at once or follow a single race, speed the clock up or slow it down, and drill into the presidential map or the state-legislature walls. It is the low-stakes, genuinely fun way to get a feel for what the forecast says the night of November 3, 2026 might hold.
Real ET clock
States close on the actual 2026 poll-closing schedule, ticking by in real Eastern time.
County by county
The vote reports in over time and drifts toward each race's projected margin as precincts land.
Control needles
Live House and Senate balance-of-power odds swing as races get called through the night.
From the forecast
Every call is drawn from ElectIndex's win probabilities — replayable, and never a scripted result.