LiveThe 2026 midterm forecast

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The best place for election analysis for the United States and across the world.

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House
506races forecast
3,142counties mapped
25elections to replay
88legislative chambers

Membership

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Everything on this site — the model, the maps, the race pages, the methodology — is paid for by readers, not advertisers or investors. Members fund the servers and feeds, and get the tools that cost the most to run.

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Every tier includes the members’ Discord Follow election nights with other Supporters, Patrons and Founders and the ElectIndex team — your tier shows as your role.See the members’ Discord

Election nights

The Global Election Simulator Beta

Spin the globe, pick a country, and watch its election night play out on a live clock — polls closing on the real schedule, the count arriving county by county, races called only once the math locks. The 2026 U.S. midterms are free to play in full. Members open the rest of the globe and a century of real nights back to 1928.

2026 midterms — free1928–2024 replaysTen country desksRaces you invent

The reference map

The National Atlas Members

Every election since 2008 at precinct level, the full Census and ACS, religious adherence and Trump approval — all on one national map, readable by state, county, congressional district on any lines back to 1976, or precinct. Break any race down by race, education, income or tenure with ecological inference that runs live in your browser.

Every race since 2008Precincts to statesRun your own inference

2028 polling

The next race, as far as anyone has asked

Every 2028 presidential poll we track — both primary fields, hypothetical general-election matchups, and the handful of states anyone has polled yet. Quality-weighted averages, honestly labelled. This is polling, not a forecast.

Democratic field

Republican field

— polls tracked— matchups tested— states polled

Polls via The New York Times. ElectIndex publishes no 2028 forecast.

The ElectIndex Brief

Our newsletter on the numbers behind the races — what moved, why it matters, and what to watch next, straight to your inbox.

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