About ElectIndex
Your one-stop shop for everything elections.
ElectIndex turns the raw material of elections — polls, returns, and demographics — into forecasts and tools anyone can read. Primarily the U.S., with international races here and there. No subscriptions, no gatekeeping: just the numbers, shown clearly.
Probabilistic forecasts
Every House, Senate, governor, and state-legislature race — win probabilities and seat projections from a transparent model.
History you can re-run
The Shuffler replays a century of presidential maps — down to precinct-level detail — and tests how the electorate moves the result.
Free and open
No paywall. The data behind every chart is downloadable, and the methodology is written out in full.
The Fight Over The Great PlainsThe Great Plains have long been one of the most reliably Republican regions in the country, with states like Nebraska, Montana, and Kansas consistently voting Republican in overwhelming numbers. However,…
Why Texas Might Flip BlueThe 2026 Texas Senate race is Democrats' best chance to win a U.S. Senate seat in…
The Self-Destruction Of Graham PlatnerThe inevitable has finally come to pass: Graham Platner, the controversial Democratic nominee for Maine’s U.S.…Live · 2026 forecast dashboard
Every race, on one dashboard
The ElectIndex dashboard brings the whole 2026 map into one place — win probabilities and seat projections for the House, Senate, and governorships, an interactive map you can switch between chambers, race-by-race breakdowns, and a swingometer you can dial yourself.
Interactive · Election nights
The Election Simulator
Watch an election night unfold race by race on a live clock. Replay real House, Senate, and Governor nights from 2016–2024 with actual county returns, play out the 2026 forecast, or build your own hypothetical matchups.
Interactive · Historical
The Election Shuffler
Pick any presidential election from 1928 to 2024 and re-run it — shuffle the electorate by demographic group, nationally or county by county, then zoom to precinct-level (block-group) detail. The map and the Electoral College update live.