Presidential approval
Trump’s Approval
Where the president stands with the public — the approve/disapprove trend across the cycle, the economy moving it, and net approval mapped down to your county.
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About this page
How ElectIndex tracks presidential approval
The national trend is a quality-and-recency-weighted average of every approval poll we track — higher-rated pollsters count for more, fresher surveys count for more, and banned pollsters never enter the average. It is the same number the ElectIndex forecast model reads as one pillar of the national environment.
The maps localize that national number. Each state, congressional district, and county starts from the national net and shifts by its partisan lean and its demographic makeup, so a place that leans a few points right of the country reads a few points friendlier to the president. County and town figures are model estimates, not local polls — treat them as a best guess at the local temperature, not a measured result.
Approval matters because it historically shapes midterms: the further a president sits below water, the worse his party tends to fare. The implied House margin shown above is the model's translation of today's approval into a national House environment.
Browse every approval poll on the Polls page → · Full methodology →